Conventional Engine Development by German Automakers Will End by 2025 – Continental Predicts

Sample this excerpt from a Volkswagen Press Release prior to Auto Shanghai 2017;

Volkswagen is developing an entirely new range of avant-garde electric vehicles. Now, Volkswagen is providing an important preview of these new frontrunners of electric mobility at Auto Shanghai 2017 (19 to 29 April).

Herbert Diess, Chairman of the Board of Management, Volkswagen Brand: “By 2025, we want to boost annual sales of electric vehicles to one million units.”

Featured Image: Volkswagen  I.D. CROZZ EV | Production Starts 2020

The German Auto Scene by 2025

Continental, one of the most prominent component suppliers to automakers around the world, has made a rather bold prediction: internal-combustion engine development by German automakers will essentially end by the year 2025.

If observed together with Continental’s prediction, VW’s and most other German auto giants’ change in their core manufacturing philosophies and a massive shift towards electric vehicles, only reconfirms that prediction.

Continental, which makes exhaust-gas-cleaning systems for diesel cars and nitrogen oxide-measuring sensors, cites three critical factors contributing to its prediction:

  1. The increasing costs of development,
  2. The end of diesel’s dominance, and
  3. An overall shift to electric cars and other alternative propulsion methods.

In greater detail, Continental CFO Wolfgang Schaefer predicts that 2023 will be the last development cycle for German internal combustion engines.

He believes one final generation of internal-combustion engines will be developed and launched by that year. Then, investment and engineering will taper off after 2023, with 2025 sealing the internal combustion engine’s fate with the very last refinements possible.

“A new generation of combustion engines will again be developed, but after that (around 2023), a further development will no longer be economically justifiable because more and more work will switch into electric mobility,” he said in an interview with Reuters.

The Days of the Internal Combustion Engine could finally be numbered


Although German automakers are far from confirming any such plans to end internal-combustion engine development, it may be inevitable.

Clean-tech campaigner, EV evangelist and Fuel Cell fanatic Dan Caesar makes a solid point in his latest tweet;

Talking about the hybrid cars lobby, Piyush Goyal, Minister of Power, Government of India had earlier said, “It is a campaign being run by those companies who don’t have electric vehicles. These companies have come to me also to convince not to oppose hybrid cars. The world is moving towards electric vehicles and the country [India] would promote electric vehicles.”

Surely, the denial club does exist in some form today.

Volvo previously announced it will move to launch only electrified vehicles (hybrid and all electric) from 2019, while every German auto manufacturer is now planning at least a few mass-production capable electric vehicles to hit the auto show floors as soon as possible.

Aggressive green government policies from global auto markets and future battery technology will ultimately guide the internal-combustion engine’s fate, but the days of new and better fossil fuel burning engines are now probably, truly numbered.

With inputs from Green Car Reports

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